Friday, 20 June 2008

Dire Predictions in Industry’s Favour?

‘UK motorists may be priced off the roads within the next year, according to new research’. This from the motor trade trade press itself.

I greeted this headline statement as the best news I’d heard in weeks. OK, it’s a bitter pill, of course, as it will lead to inflationary pressures. And for those bus drivers needing their cars for the first and last shifts, it will be a burden (after all, the once ubiquitous staff buses are long gone, as have the long daily walks staff used to make up to the 1950s).

Overall, though, this is good news for the industry and is another sign that the market is working well in stemming car use.

Apparently, it’s predicted that by next year the average six-year-old Ford Focus will cost more to fuel than the value of the car, if predictions of the 2009 £10 gallon come true (£2.20 a litre). Then add sharply increasing insurance premiums.

This will undoubtedly force motorists to think carefully about when, where or even if they use their cars. If there follows a renaissance in bus travel, is this not economically, socially and environmentally welcome? Little wonder confidence is higher among the bus as opposed to the coach side of the business.

The Ford Focus market is precisely the one that may be attracted to using buses. Those who can afford to own brand new BMWs are less likely to be tempted, as private motoring looks set to become a rich person’s past time.

4 comments:

Martin said...

Manchester's roads are a lot quieter at peaks times this month than they have been in the last couple of years.

Interestingly though, the buses don't seem any busier either...

niddynoddy37456 said...

what will reduce is non essential travel, consisting I suspect of:

- long distance day trips (coaches and especially trains should do well)
- commutting where a decent high frequency bus alternative exists - but do we have capacity?

the school run and similar shorter distance trips (to the shops etc) will continue by car I suspect.

Anonymous said...

I walk or use public transport where ever possible. If I go to London (from near Brighton) I will go by train now, if I go around Brighton I will either walk or get the bus.

But, I commute 40 minutes to work every day. I would love to use buses but as far as I'm aware there is literally no way I could. No train station exists and I don't think there is any combination of bus routes I could take.

Plus, I wonder on a journey like this whether using a bus would actually be cheaper or not? I suspect not.

go by bus said...

@anonymous

"Plus, I wonder on a journey like this whether using a bus would actually be cheaper or not? I suspect not. "

When you take external factors into account the car is the more expensive. It's just that the car is subsidised.